There’s a lot of money to be obtained this week on DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the main tournament. DK also has lots of Qualifier contests on this week, where the final event will pay $50k into 1st for those who did qualify to perform in it. I’ll be chasing those as well since we have not ever had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we have a enjoyable card that Saturday and that I am ready to enter this 3-week break with a winning night in UFC 227. Listed below are a few plays I like this weekend along with my fade of this week.
Money Game play of the week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he has the maximum ceiling as well. DJ is your P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he’s already beat Cejudo once before. This is the very first person I’m plugging in my cash LU this week and I suggest you do exactly the same. DJ is practically guaranteed to score at 100-points in a win, and he’s got a -550 gambling line saying he must find the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to pile this fight also, but I think DJ is a must.
GPP play of this week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a good struggle to goal this week since it most likely won’t visit a decision. Holland just fought on the Contender Series a couple weeks ago and did not receive a contract. But today he is about the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers from the branch. The ITD line for Santos is now -210 and the under 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. That tells me Vegas thinks this fight ends early and Santos is the guy that should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he easily pays that price tag off in a 1st round win and I presume he’s a good shot at doing exactly that. I really don’t care for him as much in money game formats however because both guys have very low flooring, so this really is a GPP only play for me personally.
Underdog play of this week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everybody is composing Brett Johns after his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is exactly why he’s so economical on DraftKings this weekend. Together with the wrestling style Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside in a decision win. Obviously, we’re concerned about him getting caught in a guillotine if he shoots for takedowns, but when he can avoid that I believe he can win this fight and 10x his salary with a win. I really don’t think Johns will wish to hit with Munhoz to get 15-minutes so I do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns could get him submitted, or they may get him a triumph over the scorecards. However, that makes him a boom or bust play and that’s why he is a good underdog to select in GPPs this week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a finish to pay that price label off with her style. She’s the worst fashion potential for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she gets a triumph here she could end up scoring significantly less than some losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least owned fighter in GPPs this week, so in the event that you would like to invest your money on a 115 pound woman with a»punchers chance» of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be quite contrarian taking that route. But I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I would still complete fade Taylor here.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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