For the first time this season, NASCAR will probably be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the leader at the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to receive it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders at this .75-mile short course. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to have a look at the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track history and current results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway are in his blood. Now, his model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019, we could inform you that the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of the last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He will start in 14th place after a slightly slower than anticipated qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s shown the speed needed to scale the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway after which struggled last week at Bristol, finishing 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the track.

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.

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