NBA Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Phoenix is just 11-40 overall this year, with four wins in 25 tries away from your home. Overall, the Suns have kept a lot of their games close with an 11-14 record against the spread as the visiting team. They are only 2-7 ATS this season and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 in their home floor so far this year. Overall, they are 20-27 against the spread, including a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they are only 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They’ve won and covered seven of their last 10 meetings between the groups, however.
Phoenix Suns
One thing we know for certain is that Phoenix has experienced a extremely tough time slowing down its opponents this year. The Suns are have allowed at least 120 points at backend losses, while offering up 111 points or more in each of their past seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their best to take Phoenix despite their poor defense. But even with Booker averaging 25.2 points per game and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the previous seven days, the Suns haven’t been able to snap out of their funk.
One of their most important concerns today is that they are playing with no Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That is just two of their best few point-getters while Melton had been the team’s top point guard. It is a great deal to overcome to get a team that was terrible to start with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they could be without a lot more talent besides James. They are hoping Kyle Kuzma is prepared to go after he missed Saturday’s practice and is considered a game-time choice for Sunday. Bear in mind, the team is without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are just three of the best four players on the team in terms of minutes played.
That means the Lakers will need men Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to carry the load — even when Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points per game over the past week but he has largely been a disappointment this year. He’s got a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has awarded the team a shot in the arm recently as he’s averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his last four contests.
There is no question that the Lakers are fighting and they’ll be shorthanded. But, declines at home to the Phoenix Suns — who is both shorthanded — are inexcusable. Start Looking for the Lakers to win however, the Suns to cover.

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